News from the South - Louisiana News Feed
Tuesday 1pm Tropical Update: TS Francine not strengthening, still a tropical storm
SUMMARY: Meteorologist Pton Malone provided a 1 PM update on Tropical Storm Francine, which is not rapidly intensifying due to dry air, maintaining winds at 65 mph and moving at 9 mph. While the storm may gradually strengthen overnight, it’s likely to remain a Category 1 hurricane at landfall in the early afternoon. Tropical storm warnings are in effect, particularly closer to the center, where higher storm surges of 3 to 10 feet are expected. Flood watches are also in place for local rivers due to anticipated heavy rainfall of 8 to 12 inches. Weather conditions should improve by Thursday.
The latest forecast still has Francine as a tropical storm as it has not yet strengthened as it heads to Louisiana.
โA fast-moving tropical storm Francine is still expected to strengthen into a hurricane prior to a Wednesday afternoon landfall, according to the latest update from the National Hurricane Center.
Meteorologist Payton Malone says that dry air has been inhibiting Francine’s development and it sits with maximum sustained winds of 65 miles per hour and gusts up to 75 miles per hour as it has since late Monday night.
There are hurricane warnings for Terrebonne and Lafourche parishes and Lower Jefferson. The rest of southeast Louisiana is under a tropical storm warning. The 4 pm update from the National Hurricane Center could show a shift in track more towards New Orleans and St. Tammany.
Malone said that storm surge in St. Mary and parts of Terrebonne could approach 10 feet, but 4-7 feet surges in Grand Isle and lower Jefferson could cause coastal flooding.
He also says that a narrow area to the north side of the storm could produce 8-12 inches of rain where it falls, which could lead to flooding. However, the majority of the area won’t get but 2-4 inches and the storm should speed by rapidly, being out of southeast Louisiana completely around midnight Thursday.
The biggest threats, outside of that narrow area of heavy rain, is for high winds causing power outages and downed trees.
News from the South - Louisiana News Feed
Storms ending tonight, cooler and less humid tomorrow
SUMMARY: Showers and storms are expected to end tonight, with rain chances decreasing throughout the night to 30% by early morning. Tomorrow is predicted to be dry and cloudy, starting at 63ยฐF and reaching a high of 75ยฐF by 4 PM, making for good weather on election day. Low humidity is forecast for Wednesday, with morning temperatures in the 40s and 50s and an afternoon high near 80ยฐF. Rain chances return Thursday (60%) and Friday (40%) with a cold front arriving Friday, but cooler, fall-like weather is anticipated for the weekend, with mornings in the 50s and afternoons in the 70s.
Two cold fronts impacting San Antonio this week.
News from the South - Louisiana News Feed
Monday 5PM Tropical Update: Rafael heads to the Gulf of Mexico
SUMMARY: Tropical Storm Raphael has formed in the Gulf of Mexico, with winds at 45 mph. Conditions in the Gulf in November are less favorable for intensification compared to peak hurricane season, leading to expectations of weakening as the storm progresses. It is currently improving organization as it moves towards Western Cuba, where it may strengthen briefly. The future track of the storm remains uncertain, with models suggesting differing paths towards the Gulf Coast. However, strong wind shear and dry air conditions are anticipated to hinder further intensification, possibly resulting in rapid weakening before landfall.
WWL Louisiana Chief Meteorologist Chris Franklin is tracking the tropics with the latest on Tropical Storm Rafael for News at 5PM on Monday, Nov. 4, 2024.
News from the South - Louisiana News Feed
Monday 5PM First Weather: Tropical Storm Rafael forms in Caribbean
SUMMARY: Tropical Storm Raphael has formed and is gaining strength, with forecasts indicating it could become a hurricane before reaching Jamaica and Western Cuba. Meteorologists believe the storm’s path may lead it toward Louisiana, but there’s uncertainty about its organization as it approaches the Gulf of Mexico due to adverse conditions like dry air and cooler waters. Chief meteorologist Chris Franklin noted that, unlike in peak hurricane season, the risk to land appears limited as the storm may weaken significantly before making landfall. More updates on the storm’s trajectory and local weather expectations will follow.
WWL Louisiana Chief Meteorologist with a first look at recently upgraded Tropical Storm Rafael on News at 5PM on Monday, Nov. 4, 2024.
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