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Mississippi Today partners with Siena College Research Institute for series of polls

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Mississippi Today partners with Siena College Research Institute for series of polls

Mississippi Today has partnered with Siena College Research Institute, ranked among the nation’s most reputable and accurate polling firms, for a series of surveys between now and November 2023 statewide election.

FiveThirtyEight gives Siena College an “A+” rating with a slight bias toward Republican candidates. Siena was broadly praised following the 2022 midterms for its accuracy in polling several states’ U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and governor’s races.

Mississippi is just one of three states featuring governor’s races in 2023. Additionally, the other seven statewide offices and all 174 legislative seats are up for grabs in November. 

Mississippi Today’s partnership with Siena College will provide Mississippians a regular and thorough understanding of where their peers stand on candidates, key issues and quality of life — the first such series of public surveys during a statewide election year here since at least 1999.

“The Siena College Research Institute (SCRI) is thrilled to work with Mississippi Today to measure how Mississippians feel about current critical state issues, Mississippi’s leaders and the quality of life in Mississippi,” said Dr. Don Levy, director of the Siena College Research Institute. “SCRI has conducted national polling and surveys in many individual states in order listen to the views of Americans and to provide unbiased data to every citizen. We welcome this opportunity to work with Mississippi Today to give voice to Mississippians and to advance mutual understanding.”

The first poll of the series was in the field the first week of January, and Mississippi Today will publish key findings beginning this week. Here’s what readers can expect from us over the next few days:

  • Tuesday, Jan. 16: Where Mississippians stand on the 2024 presidential race, including how Republicans feel about former President Donald Trump and emerging potential candidate Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. We also explore how Mississippians feel about the job President Joe Biden is doing, the future of democracy in the U.S., and who they think legitimately won the 2020 presidential election.
  • Wednesday, Jan. 17: Where Mississippians stand on the state’s health care crisis, including its dozens of hospitals on the verge of closing. We explore Mississippians’ views on potential solutions to the crisis, including additional legislative funding and Medicaid expansion.
  • Thursday, Jan. 18: Where Mississippians stand on the 2023 governor’s race and how they feel about the work of current Gov. Tate Reeves.
  • Friday, Jan. 19: Where Mississippians stand on the work of their legislative leaders and the Mississippi Legislature as a whole, as well as some key issues lawmakers are debating between no and the end of the 2023 legislative session.
  • Week of Jan. 23: Where Republicans, Democrats and independents agree on certain issues, plus the major divide in opinion about quality of life between Mississippians of different backgrounds.

“We think it’s critical that Mississippians understand where their neighbors stand on major problems facing our state, ideas about how to improve those problems, and the various elected officials and candidates who propose those ideas,” said Adam Ganucheau, Mississippi Today’s editor-in-chief. “We sought to partner with SCRI because of their commitment to fairness and accuracy. All we seek, as ever, is the truth of what’s happening in our state. We will be completely transparent about methodology and focused on what the results mean for the 2023 legislative session, the 2023 statewide elections and beyond.”

Levy offered some advice for those who may be contacted this year by pollsters.

“If we call you from Siena, please take a few minutes to participate in the survey,” Levy said. “You may enjoy it and at the same time, you may make Mississippi a little better for you and your neighbors.”

This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.

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Mississippi Today

On this day in 1997

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mississippitoday.org – Jerry Mitchell – 2024-12-22 07:00:00

Dec. 22, 1997

Myrlie Evers and Reena Evers-Everette cheer the jury verdict of Feb. 5, 1994, when Byron De La Beckwith was found guilty of the 1963 murder of Mississippi NAACP leader Medgar Evers. Credit: AP/Rogelio Solis

The Mississippi Supreme Court upheld the conviction of white supremacist Byron De La Beckwith for the 1963 murder of Medgar Evers. 

In the court’s 4–2 decision, Justice Mike Mills praised efforts “to squeeze justice out of the harm caused by a furtive explosion which erupted from dark bushes on a June night in Jackson, Mississippi.” 

He wrote that Beckwith’s constitutional right to a speedy trial had not been denied. His “complicity with the Sovereignty Commission’s involvement in the prior trials contributed to the delay.” 

The decision did more than ensure that Beckwith would stay behind bars. The conviction helped clear the way for other prosecutions of unpunished killings from the Civil Rights Era.

This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.

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Mississippi Today

Medicaid expansion tracker approaches $1 billion loss for Mississippi

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mississippitoday.org – Bobby Harrison – 2024-12-22 06:00:00

About the time people ring in the new year next week, the digital tracker on Mississippi Today’s homepage tabulating the amount of money the state is losing by not expanding Medicaid will hit $1 billion.

The state has lost $1 billion not since the start of the quickly departing 2024 but since the beginning of the state’s fiscal year on July 1.

Some who oppose Medicaid expansion say the digital tracker is flawed.

During an October news conference, when state Auditor Shad White unveiled details of his $2 million study seeking ways to cut state government spending, he said he did not look at Medicaid expansion as a method to save money or grow state revenue.

“I think that (Mississippi Today) calculator is wrong,” White said. “… I don’t think that takes into account how many people are going to be moved off the federal health care exchange where their health care is paid for fully by the federal government and moved onto Medicaid.”

White is not the only Mississippi politician who has expressed concern that if Medicaid expansion were enacted, thousands of people would lose their insurance on the exchange and be forced to enroll in Medicaid for health care coverage.

Mississippi Today’s projections used for the tracker are based on studies conducted by the Institutions of Higher Learning University Research Center. Granted, there are a lot of variables in the study that are inexact. It is impossible to say, for example, how many people will get sick and need health care, thus increasing the cost of Medicaid expansion. But is reasonable that the projections of the University Research Center are in the ballpark of being accurate and close to other studies conducted by health care experts.

White and others are correct that Mississippi Today’s calculator does not take into account money flowing into the state for people covered on the health care exchange. But that money does not go to the state; it goes to insurance companies that, granted, use that money to reimburse Mississippians for providing health care. But at least a portion of the money goes to out-of-state insurance companies as profits.

Both Medicaid expansion and the health care exchange are part of the Affordable Care Act. Under Medicaid expansion people earning up to $20,120 annually can sign up for Medicaid and the federal government will pay the bulk of the cost. Mississippi is one of 10 states that have not opted into Medicaid expansion.

People making more than $14,580 annually can garner private insurance through the health insurance exchanges, and people below certain income levels can receive help from the federal government in paying for that coverage.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, legislation championed and signed into law by President Joe Biden significantly increased the federal subsidies provided to people receiving insurance on the exchange. Those increased subsidies led to many Mississippians — desperate for health care — turning to the exchange for help.

White, state Insurance Commissioner Mike Chaney, Gov. Tate Reeves and others have expressed concern that those people would lose their private health insurance and be forced to sign up for Medicaid if lawmakers vote to expand Medicaid.

They are correct.

But they do not mention that the enhanced benefits authored by the Biden administration are scheduled to expire in December 2025 unless they are reenacted by Congress. The incoming Donald Trump administration has given no indication it will continue the enhanced subsidies.

As a matter of fact, the Trump administration, led by billionaire Elon Musk, is looking for ways to cut federal spending.

Some have speculated that Medicaid expansion also could be on Musk’s chopping block.

That is possible. But remember congressional action is required to continue the enhanced subsidies. On the flip side, congressional action would most likely be required to end or cut Medicaid expansion.

Would the multiple U.S. senators and House members in the red states that have expanded Medicaid vote to end a program that is providing health care to thousands of their constituents?

If Congress does not continue Biden’s enhanced subsidies, the rates for Mississippians on the exchange will increase on average about $500 per year, according to a study by KFF, a national health advocacy nonprofit. If that occurs, it is likely that many of the 280,000 Mississippians on the exchange will drop their coverage.

The result will be that Mississippi’s rate of uninsured — already one of the highest in the nation – will rise further, putting additional pressure on hospitals and other providers who will be treating patients who have no ability to pay.

In the meantime, the Mississippi Today counter that tracks the amount of money Mississippi is losing by not expanding Medicaid keeps ticking up.

This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.

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Mississippi Today

On this day in 1911

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mississippitoday.org – Jerry Mitchell – 2024-12-21 07:00:00

Dec. 21, 1911

A colorized photograph of Josh Gibson, who was playing with the Homestead Grays Credit: Wikipedia

Josh Gibson, the Negro League’s “Home Run King,” was born in Buena Vista, Georgia. 

When the family’s farm suffered, they moved to Pittsburgh, and Gibson tried baseball at age 16. He eventually played for a semi-pro team in Pittsburgh and became known for his towering home runs. 

He was watching the Homestead Grays play on July 25, 1930, when the catcher injured his hand. Team members called for Gibson, sitting in the stands, to join them. He was such a talented catcher that base runners were more reluctant to steal. He hit the baseball so hard and so far (580 feet once at Yankee Stadium) that he became the second-highest paid player in the Negro Leagues behind Satchel Paige, with both of them entering the National Baseball Hame of Fame. 

The Hall estimated that Gibson hit nearly 800 homers in his 17-year career and had a lifetime batting average of .359. Gibson was portrayed in the 1996 TV movie, “Soul of the Game,” by Mykelti Williamson. Blair Underwood played Jackie Robinson, Delroy Lindo portrayed Satchel Paige, and Harvey Williams played “Cat” Mays, the father of the legendary Willie Mays. 

Gibson has now been honored with a statue outside the Washington Nationals’ ballpark.

This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.

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