Mississippi Today
How might Kamala Harris compare to recent Democrats in non-swing state Mississippi?
Former U.S. Congressmen Mike Espy, a Democrat, and Gregg Harper, a Republican, were civil toward each other even though they did not agree on much at a recent meeting of the Mississippi State Stennis Institute of Government and the Capitol Press Corps.
Espy, a former U.S. agriculture secretary and the first Black Mississippian elected to Congress since the 1800s, and Harper, a 10-year U.S. House member, were invited to give their thoughts and predictions about the upcoming presidential election.
They offered no surprises.
Harper echoed the Donald Trump talking points in touting the Republican nominee. He criticized Harris for the border, economy and on other issues often talked about by Trump.
Harper added that he thought Trump would win “if he acts presidential.”
Espy spent less time on issues. He gave a personal testimonial of his friendship with Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. They both are alumni of Howard University, and she came to Mississippi to campaign for him when he was running for the U.S. Senate against Republican incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith.
He said Harris is well prepared and ready to be president.
Harper and Espy did agree on at least one issue. They both agreed at the luncheon meeting that Trump would win Mississippi.
“We’re not a swing state,” Espy said.
Mississippi has voted for the Democratic presidential nominee only once since 1956. Georgia Gov. Jimmy Carter narrowly carried Mississippi in 1976 against Republican incumbent Gerald Ford. In 1964, after supporting legislation that eventually would lead to a surge of Black voters in the South, Democratic incumbent Lyndon Johnson garnered a pitiful 13% of the vote in Mississippi against Republican Barry Goldwater.
In a losing effort, Barack Obama garnered more votes in Mississippi than any Democratic candidate for president. In 2012 he won 562,949 votes in Mississippi in his successful re-election bid. But Republican nominee Mitt Romney comfortably defeated Obama in Mississippi with 710,746 votes.
In the 2020 election, Espy won more votes than any Democrat in the history of the state, also in a losing effort. In his election against Hyde-Smith, he garnered 578,806 votes, but only 44.1% of the total.
Other Democratic candidates have garnered a greater percentage of the vote, though turnout in those elections was lower.
The Republican who has won the most votes in Mississippi is Donald Trump – 756,789 in 2020.
Many expect Trump to do as well in Mississippi this election cycle as he did in 2020. The top two turnout elections for Democrats in terms of total votes, as stated previously, were Espy in 2020 and Obama in 2012.
That should not be surprising since Mississippi has the highest Black population in the nation at about 38%. Black Mississippians tend to vote overwhelmingly Democratic, just as most white Mississippians vote overwhelmingly Republican.
It should be no surprise that Black Mississippians turned out to vote for Obama, who was seeking in 2012 a second term after being elected as the nation’s first Black president four years earlier. And then in 2020, Espy was trying to become the first Black Mississippian elected to a U.S. Senate seat.
In 2024 Harris is attempting to be the first Black woman elected as president. So it is reasonable to assume that she, like Espy and Obama, will draw a large number of Black Mississippians to the polls in November.
In 2020, then-Espy campaign manager Joe O’Hern said that he believed the 2020 turnout among Black Mississippians was at record levels for Espy.
“You probably saw historic Black turnout this cycle,” O’Hern said after the 2020 election. “… Even with nobody thinking Biden was going to win Mississippi, you probably saw historic Black turnout.”
But that historic Black turnout was not enough to put Espy over the top, and almost all agree it would not be enough to put Harris over the top in November.
Is there a path to victory in a statewide election for a Democrat in Mississippi?
According to Statista, 66.7% of eligible voters nationwide cast a ballot in 2020 — the highest in the modern era. But the percentage of eligible Mississippians voting was near the bottom nationally at 60.2%.
In other words, there are votes to be found in Mississippi. Whether there are enough votes to push a Democrat to victory is another story.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Today
On this day in 1997
Dec. 22, 1997
The Mississippi Supreme Court upheld the conviction of white supremacist Byron De La Beckwith for the 1963 murder of Medgar Evers.
In the court’s 4–2 decision, Justice Mike Mills praised efforts “to squeeze justice out of the harm caused by a furtive explosion which erupted from dark bushes on a June night in Jackson, Mississippi.”
He wrote that Beckwith’s constitutional right to a speedy trial had not been denied. His “complicity with the Sovereignty Commission’s involvement in the prior trials contributed to the delay.”
The decision did more than ensure that Beckwith would stay behind bars. The conviction helped clear the way for other prosecutions of unpunished killings from the Civil Rights Era.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Today
Medicaid expansion tracker approaches $1 billion loss for Mississippi
About the time people ring in the new year next week, the digital tracker on Mississippi Today’s homepage tabulating the amount of money the state is losing by not expanding Medicaid will hit $1 billion.
The state has lost $1 billion not since the start of the quickly departing 2024 but since the beginning of the state’s fiscal year on July 1.
Some who oppose Medicaid expansion say the digital tracker is flawed.
During an October news conference, when state Auditor Shad White unveiled details of his $2 million study seeking ways to cut state government spending, he said he did not look at Medicaid expansion as a method to save money or grow state revenue.
“I think that (Mississippi Today) calculator is wrong,” White said. “… I don’t think that takes into account how many people are going to be moved off the federal health care exchange where their health care is paid for fully by the federal government and moved onto Medicaid.”
White is not the only Mississippi politician who has expressed concern that if Medicaid expansion were enacted, thousands of people would lose their insurance on the exchange and be forced to enroll in Medicaid for health care coverage.
Mississippi Today’s projections used for the tracker are based on studies conducted by the Institutions of Higher Learning University Research Center. Granted, there are a lot of variables in the study that are inexact. It is impossible to say, for example, how many people will get sick and need health care, thus increasing the cost of Medicaid expansion. But is reasonable that the projections of the University Research Center are in the ballpark of being accurate and close to other studies conducted by health care experts.
White and others are correct that Mississippi Today’s calculator does not take into account money flowing into the state for people covered on the health care exchange. But that money does not go to the state; it goes to insurance companies that, granted, use that money to reimburse Mississippians for providing health care. But at least a portion of the money goes to out-of-state insurance companies as profits.
Both Medicaid expansion and the health care exchange are part of the Affordable Care Act. Under Medicaid expansion people earning up to $20,120 annually can sign up for Medicaid and the federal government will pay the bulk of the cost. Mississippi is one of 10 states that have not opted into Medicaid expansion.
People making more than $14,580 annually can garner private insurance through the health insurance exchanges, and people below certain income levels can receive help from the federal government in paying for that coverage.
During the COVID-19 pandemic, legislation championed and signed into law by President Joe Biden significantly increased the federal subsidies provided to people receiving insurance on the exchange. Those increased subsidies led to many Mississippians — desperate for health care — turning to the exchange for help.
White, state Insurance Commissioner Mike Chaney, Gov. Tate Reeves and others have expressed concern that those people would lose their private health insurance and be forced to sign up for Medicaid if lawmakers vote to expand Medicaid.
They are correct.
But they do not mention that the enhanced benefits authored by the Biden administration are scheduled to expire in December 2025 unless they are reenacted by Congress. The incoming Donald Trump administration has given no indication it will continue the enhanced subsidies.
As a matter of fact, the Trump administration, led by billionaire Elon Musk, is looking for ways to cut federal spending.
Some have speculated that Medicaid expansion also could be on Musk’s chopping block.
That is possible. But remember congressional action is required to continue the enhanced subsidies. On the flip side, congressional action would most likely be required to end or cut Medicaid expansion.
Would the multiple U.S. senators and House members in the red states that have expanded Medicaid vote to end a program that is providing health care to thousands of their constituents?
If Congress does not continue Biden’s enhanced subsidies, the rates for Mississippians on the exchange will increase on average about $500 per year, according to a study by KFF, a national health advocacy nonprofit. If that occurs, it is likely that many of the 280,000 Mississippians on the exchange will drop their coverage.
The result will be that Mississippi’s rate of uninsured — already one of the highest in the nation – will rise further, putting additional pressure on hospitals and other providers who will be treating patients who have no ability to pay.
In the meantime, the Mississippi Today counter that tracks the amount of money Mississippi is losing by not expanding Medicaid keeps ticking up.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Today
On this day in 1911
Dec. 21, 1911
Josh Gibson, the Negro League’s “Home Run King,” was born in Buena Vista, Georgia.
When the family’s farm suffered, they moved to Pittsburgh, and Gibson tried baseball at age 16. He eventually played for a semi-pro team in Pittsburgh and became known for his towering home runs.
He was watching the Homestead Grays play on July 25, 1930, when the catcher injured his hand. Team members called for Gibson, sitting in the stands, to join them. He was such a talented catcher that base runners were more reluctant to steal. He hit the baseball so hard and so far (580 feet once at Yankee Stadium) that he became the second-highest paid player in the Negro Leagues behind Satchel Paige, with both of them entering the National Baseball Hame of Fame.
The Hall estimated that Gibson hit nearly 800 homers in his 17-year career and had a lifetime batting average of .359. Gibson was portrayed in the 1996 TV movie, “Soul of the Game,” by Mykelti Williamson. Blair Underwood played Jackie Robinson, Delroy Lindo portrayed Satchel Paige, and Harvey Williams played “Cat” Mays, the father of the legendary Willie Mays.
Gibson has now been honored with a statue outside the Washington Nationals’ ballpark.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
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