Mississippi Today
College football season is upon us, so how many games will Mississippi teams win?
Making public predictions on a Mississippi college football season is a capricious business. Trust me, I know. Depth at our schools is often thin. An injury or three at a key position can turn a potential 8-4 season into 4-8 quicker than you can say anterior cruciate ligament.
Take 2021 for example. Southern Miss, in Will Hall’s debut season, began the season with five quarterbacks on the roster. Before the 12-game season was over, 11 different players took snaps, including a student assistant coach, who un-retired because no quarterback on the roster was healthy enough to play. Hall’s Golden Eagles finished the season with running backs playing quarterback.
Now I don’t know if that team would have won six games, as I predicted in August of 2021. But I know they would have won more than the three they eventually won had it not been for all the sprains, strains and tears.
And that wasn’t the worst case – or the most embarrassing prediction – this predictor has experienced. In 1988, I boldly predicted that Mississippi State would win seven games. The Bulldogs defeated Louisiana Tech in their season opener and then proceeded to lose the next 10 games. It was brutal. At first the defeats were nail-biters, by four points to Vanderbilt and by seven to nationally ranked Georgia. But as the season continued, injuries mounted and morale suffered, the margins of defeat became significantly larger. It mercifully ended with a 33-6 Egg Bowl defeat.
That season forever will be remembered, simply, as “Tech and 10.”
What I will remember most is the wise guy who called my office every Monday morning, usually laughing hysterically while reminding me of my 7-4 prediction. “Hey Cleveland,” he’d say, “I see where your Bullies lost to Memphis by three touchdowns. I just want to know. Was that one of the seven or one of the four?”
And so it went…
With all that in mind, here’s how the 2024 Mississippi football season will go:
We will start with the best team in the state and potentially one of the best teams in the nation: Ole Miss. Don’t take it from me. Both the Associated Press and the Coaches polls have the Rebels ranked No. 6 in the nation. Las Vegas oddsmakers have set the Ole Miss over-under victory total at 9.5. Virtually every respected college football prognosticator has the Rebels in the expanded 12-team college football playoffs. Most have the Rebels hosting a first round playoff game. Lane Kiffin has emerged as the unquestioned king of the transfer portal.
The Rebels have not been ranked this high in the preseason since 1970, when Johnny Vaught was still coaching and now-75-year-old Archie Manning was the quarterback. That year, the Rebs ranked fifth in the AP preseason poll and rose to as high as No. 4 before a stunning loss to Southern Miss and Manning’s broken forearm suffered against Houston.
Quarterback Jaxson Dart, for good reason a high-ranking Heisman Trophy candidate, leads an Ole Miss roster that has been bolstered, especially across the offensive and defensive lines, through the portal. I don’t know that the Rebels are as deep across the the lines as traditional SEC powers such as Georgia and Alabama, but the Rebels appear to possess more depth than any Mississippi football team in recent memory.
The schedule works in the Rebels’ favor as well – at least as well as an SEC schedule can. Ole Miss definitely will be favored, heavily in most cases, to win its first six games. Then comes an Oct. 12 date with LSU at Baton Rouge. Circle that game. Should the Rebs win it, they likely will be 7-0 with an open date before a home game with Oklahoma. Can you imagine what Oxford will be like should that happen? I can’t.
You won’t find Alabama, Texas or Auburn on this Ole Miss schedule, and Georgia, the preseason No. 1, must visit Oxford on Nov. 9. If both teams were to enter that game undefeated, Oxford lacks the infrastructure to contend with all the folks who would converge on the campus and the Square that day.
If I was a gambler, I would bet the over. I think the Rebels will win 10 regular season games, losing only to Georgia and either LSU or Oklahoma. And, yes, that would put Ole Miss in the playoffs.
Mississippi State? To say the Bulldogs are a new-look team is probably the understatement of the decade. The Bulldogs will feature a new head coach, new coordinators, a new quarterback and only four returning starters, the least in the SEC. This rebuilding job may take a while.
That said, I’ve always put a lot of stock in what coaching peers say about a new head coach, and I’ve never heard any coach, friend or foe, say anything negative about Jeff Lebby. He has produced explosive offenses everywhere he has coached, including Ole Miss and Oklahoma.
Lebby’s first task as a head coach will be challenging to say the least. Not only must he replace 18 starters, he must do it against a schedule that might best be described as frightening.
Like Ole Miss, State doesn’t play Alabama or Auburn, but the Bulldogs do play Texas, Georgia, Tennessee and Ole Miss, all ranked in the AP top 15 and all on the road. What’s more, the Bulldogs’ home schedule includes Missouri and Texas A&M, both ranked in the AP’s preseason Top 20. Sports Illustrated ranks State’s schedule the sixth most difficult in the nation, and it is difficult to imagine that five teams exist that face harder schedules.
Little wonder, Las Vegas oddsmakers placed the over-under on State victories at 4.5. I’ve got the Bulldogs winning four – five if they can win that first road game at Arizona State. It surely helps Lebby that he was able to bring in through the portal quarterback Blake Shapen, who was well above average and often outstanding in two seasons as Baylor’s starter.
Vegas oddsmakers set the over-under victory total on Southern Miss also at 4.5. My take: Barring another rash of quarterback injuries, the Golden Eagles will beat those odds. Hall has recruited well and also has increased the overall talent level through the portal. An admission: I thought the transfer portal would negatively affect Sun Belt teams such as Southern Miss. So far, at least, the portal has helped the Eagles.
Start with quarterback Tate Rodemaker, who comes to Hattiesburg from Florida State, where he was the back-up before a late-season injury sidelined the Seminoles’ starter. In his first start, Rodemaker quarterbacked FSU to a 24-15 victory over Florida in The Swamp at Gainesville. Rodemaker had portal offers from South Carolina, Tulane, Washington State and Utah State among others, including FSU, which did not want him to leave.
As this is written, Hall has not named Rodemaker as the definite starter but he will be. Expect to see talented sophomore Ethan Crawford play as well, and Hall loves true freshman John White, the Madison-Ridgeland Academy product (and son of Mississippi Speaker of the House Jason White).
Other reasons for optimism: a huge and talented front seven on defense and what Hall believes will be a much improved offensive line. Expect true freshmen tight end-fullback Reed Jesiolowski and linebacker Chris Jones, both out of Hartfield Academy in Flowood, to make early contributions.
Hall is due some good fortune when it comes to avoiding injuries. If he gets it, his fourth USM team could win six or seven games and go to a bowl. What the heck, I’ll go with seven and hope I don’t hear from the same guy who kept calling and ridiculing me mercilessly back in 1988. I can hear it now: “Hey, Cleveland, I just want to know, was that one of the seven or one of the five…”
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Today
Despite bribery charges, Mississippi prosecutor, other officials can remain in office
Sweeping corruption charges have rocked local government in Mississippi’s capital city, with potentially significant implications for the local legal system.
During arraignments on Thursday, federal prosecutors charged Hinds County District Attorney Jody Owens, Jackson Mayor Chokwe Antar Lumumba and Jackson City Councilmember Aaron Banks with a string of bribery and corruption charges.
All three pleaded not guilty and were released pending trial.
The charges stem from an undercover sting operation in which FBI agents posed as real estate developers and allegedly provided bribes to win the support of local officials.
Former Jackson City Councilmember Angelique Lee and local businessman Sherik Marve’ Smith previously pleaded guilty to corruption charges as part of plea agreements.
All three officials charged Thursday have influence over the local legal system in Mississippi’s largest city and county. Owens is the county’s prosecutor, with sweeping power over felony prosecutions in a county that has struggled with violent crime, a backlog of cases and a troubled jail.
Lumumba appoints the Jackson police chief. Lumumba has fought against the creation of a state-controlled police force with jurisdiction within certain areas of the city, as well as a special state-controlled court for those areas. His beleaguered legal position may only strengthen the efforts of statewide leaders to exert more control over local policy within the state’s capital city.
Banks, as a councilmember, votes to confirm or reject Lumumba’s appointments, including police chief. The city council also sets the budget for city government departments, including the police department and the municipal court. The Jackson City Council can also impose other policies, including a controversial youth curfew policy that came earlier this year.
Can Owens, Lumumba and Banks remain in office while facing criminal charges?
Yes. While the Mississippi constitution forbids anyone who has been convicted of almost all felonies from holding elected office, nothing requires a person to resign or take a leave of absence from their job before a conviction.
Owens on Thursday indicated no plans to resign. Instead, he said he would fight what he called a “flawed FBI investigation” and said, “I’m going to get back to protecting Hinds County and being the district attorney that you elected me to be.”
Owens’ predecessor, Robert Shuler Smith, faced multiple state criminal prosecutions during his tenure in elected office and never resigned. None of the charges brought against him by then-Attorney General Jim Hood ended in a conviction.
In 2016, then-state Rep. Nick Bain filed a bill that would have created a process to remove local officials from office following an indictment, but that bill never advanced.
The state constitution allows people convicted of manslaughter and state or federal tax crimes to hold elected office.
What happens if Owens resigns?
Owens was most recently elected in 2023 for a four-year term that began January 2024 and will run through the end of 2027. If he’s not convicted before then, he can complete the entire term and even qualify for reelection again. If he were to be convicted or plead guilty before the end of 2027, he would be removed from office.
On Thursday, U.S. District Court Judge Daniel P. Jordan set a trial date for Jan. 6, but delays in criminal cases are common.
If Owens resigns or is removed with more than six months remaining in his term, Gov. Tate Reeves will appoint someone to replace him until a special election can occur. Special elections to replace a district attorney generally occur as needed in November of each year.
If Owens were to resign now, that means a gubernatorial appointee would serve as Hinds County’s district attorney for a year until a special election in 2025. Any qualifying candidate could run in the special election to fulfill the term, including the gubernatorial appointee.
If Owens were to resign or be removed from office with less than six months remaining in his term, the governor would simply appoint someone to fulfill the term and the winner of the regularly scheduled general election would take office at the beginning of the next term.
What would happen if Lumumba or Banks were to resign or be removed from office?
The current terms of both Lumumba and Bank conclude next year, with municipal general elections set for June and new terms beginning in July.
Lumumba said on Thursday that he will continue to run for reelection. Banks declined to answer questions about whether he intends to remain in office or to seek another term.
If either Lumumba or Banks were to resign with less than six months remaining in their term, state law requires that the Jackson City Council would replace either with interim appointments who would serve the remaining months of the terms.
If either man were to resign or be removed before the end of 2024, the City Council would have to order a special election to fill the vacant posts.
Can voters recall elected officials in Mississippi?
Mississippi does have an obscure and very roundabout recall process, but only for county officials, despite several unsuccessful efforts to expand the law. State Sen. Jeremy England, a Republican from the Gulf Coast, has filed some of those bills, and said he did not think a district attorney could be recalled under the current law, but they could have been recalled under a bill he has filed before.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Today
On this day in 1914
Nov. 12, 1914
Civil rights leader William Monroe Trotter led a delegation that confronted President Woodrow Wilson.
Raised in Hyde Park, Massachusetts, Trotter had more education than the president. He had graduate and postgraduate degrees from Harvard University, where he became the first Black member of Phi Beta Kappa.
“New Englanders liked to talk as if ‘the Negro problem’ afflicted only the South,” The New Yorker wrote of him, “but Trotter looked around his beloved Boston and saw segregation in the city’s churches, gyms, and hospitals. This ‘fixed caste of color’ meant that ‘every colored American would be a civic outcast, forever alien in public life,’ he wrote.”
In 1901, he started The Guardian with the motto: “For every right, with all thy might.” The newspaper called itself “an organ which is to voice intelligently the needs and aspirations” of Black Americans.”
Both he and his wife, Deenie, published The Guardian each Saturday, only missing two issues: “The Trotters had no children and did not want any; The Guardian was their child.”
In their pages, Trotter leveled vicious attacks against Booker T. Washington and his accommodation policies, calling him “the Great Traitor.” When Trotter began to question Washington at a gathering of 2,000, a fight broke out, which became known as “the Boston riot,” and he was arrested, spending 30 days in jail. The wealth his family once enjoyed turned to poverty because of the money he sunk into his newspaper.
“It has cost me considerable money, but I could not keep out of it,” he wrote. “I can now feel that I am doing my duty and trying to show the light to those in darkness and keep them from at least being duped into helping in their own enslavement.”
He turned his attention to political candidates he felt would support African Americans and began backing Wilson, whom he met and shook hands with in 1912 “with great cordiality.”
A year later, he and Ida B. Wells and other civil rights leaders expressed dismay over the reinstitution of Jim Crow and even shared a chart that showed which federal offices had begun separating workers by race.
In 1914, Trotter and other Black leaders appeared at the White House with 20,000 signatures, demanding an end to Jim Crow in federal offices. The leaders told Wilson they felt betrayed because they had supported him in the election, and he had since reinstituted segregation in the federal government that included separate toilets and dismissed high-level Black appointees.
“Only two years ago you were heralded as perhaps the second Lincoln,” Trotter said, “and now the Afro-American leaders who supported you are hounded as false leaders and traitors to their race.”
He reminded the president — who had been busy championing his “New Freedom” program to restore fair-labor practices — that he had promised to aid Black Americans in “advancing the interest of their race in the United States. … Have you a ‘New Freedom’ for white Americans and a new slavery for your Afro-American fellow citizens? God forbid!”
Wilson responded that “segregation is not humiliating but a benefit” and that he had put the practice back in place because of friction between Black and white clerks. Trotter challenged this claim, calling Jim Crow humiliating to Black workers.
Wilson stuck to his guns, telling Trotter that if he and other Black Americans think “you are being humiliated, you will believe it.” The exchange lasted 45 minutes, and the president challenged Trotter’s “tone” as offensive: “You have spoiled the whole cause for which you came.”
The civil rights leader responded, “I am pleading for simple justice. If my tone has seemed so contentious, why has my tone been misunderstood?”
The argument landed on the front page of The New York Times. During World War I, the State Department refused to give Trotter a passport to Paris. To get around the restriction, he took a job as a cook on a freighter to France, and when he began reporting on the plight of Black soldiers, French newspapers shared his reporting, and he spoke there about discrimination against African Americans.
When Trotter returned home, he was welcomed by 2,000 supporters. He unsuccessfully championed a section added to Wilson’s 14 Points for peace that would say, “The elimination of civil, political, and judicial distinctions based on race or color in all nations for the new era of freedom everywhere.”
Trotter helped found the Niagara Movement, a forerunner of the NAACP. The civil rights organization adopted his proposal to address segregated transportation as a grievance, but the group rejected his proposal to make lynching a federal crime.
He championed cases the NAACP was slower to pursue, including Jane Bosfield, a Black woman was told she could only work for a Massachusetts hospital if she ate separately from her white fellow workers.
When the racist movie, ‘The Birth of a Nation’, appeared on a screen, the national NAACP tried to raise money for a rival film to counter those lies, but Trotter believed in direct action. His protests succeeded in shutting down a play that was the basis for the movie, which depicted Klansmen as heroes. After failing to halt the debut of the film in Boston, he teamed up with Roman Catholics to get a revival showing canceled.
His tactics were later used by the modern civil rights movement “to integrate lunch counters, buses, schools, and other essential spaces,” The New Yorker wrote. And his mindset “incubated the politics of Malcolm X and of the Reverend Martin Luther King Jr.”
A multicultural center at the University of Michigan bears Trotter’s name, and his first home in Dorchester is now a National Historic Landmark. He made the list of the 100 Greatest African Americans.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Today
DOJ lawsuit: Mississippi Senate paid Black attorney half what white colleagues made
JACKSON, Miss. (AP) — The Mississippi Senate discriminated against a Black attorney by paying her about half of what her white colleagues were paid for doing the same job, the U.S. Justice Department says in a lawsuit it filed Friday.
“Discriminatory employment practices, like paying a Black employee less than their white colleagues for the same work, are not only unfair, they are unlawful,” said Assistant Attorney General Kristen Clarke, head of the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division.
Kristie Metcalfe worked as a staff attorney for the Mississippi Senate’s Legislative Services Office from December 2011 to November 2019. Attorneys for the nonpartisan office write bills and handle other legal questions for the 52 senators. Many of them stay on the job for decades.
The Senate office employed only white attorneys for at least 34 years before Metcalfe was hired, and she was the only Black attorney on staff during her time there, the lawsuit said.
Metcalfe’s starting salary was $55,000, while other Senate staff attorneys were paid $95,550 to $121,800, according to the lawsuit. The other attorneys received pay raises about a month after Metcalfe was hired, making their salary range $114,000 to $136,416. Metcalfe did not receive a raise then.
The current governor, Republican Tate Reeves, presided over the Senate as lieutenant governor from January 2012 until January 2020 — most of the time Metcalfe worked for the Senate.
The Associated Press sought comment about the lawsuit Friday from Reeves and current Lt. Gov. Delbert Hosemann, who is also a Republican.
“We do not comment on pending litigation,” said the current secretary of the Senate, Amanda Frusha White, who works for Hosemann.
Metcalfe’s salary remained $40,000 to $60,000 less than her lowest-paid white colleague during her years on the job, the lawsuit said. It also said the Senate hired another attorney, a white man, in December 2018 and set his salary at $101,500, which was $24,335 more than Metcalfe was being paid at the time.
Metcalfe and the new attorney both had eight years’ experience practicing law, although the new attorney had not yet worked for the Legislature. They were assigned the same types of work for the Senate, the lawsuit said.
The lawsuit said Metcalfe complained about the pay disparity to with then-Sen. Terry Burton, a Republican. As the Senate president pro tempore, Burton was chairman of the Rules Committee, which sets staff salaries. He denied Metcalfe’s request to equalize her salary with that of her new colleague, the lawsuit said. She resigned about 11 months later.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
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