Mississippi Today
College football season is upon us, so how many games will Mississippi teams win?
Making public predictions on a Mississippi college football season is a capricious business. Trust me, I know. Depth at our schools is often thin. An injury or three at a key position can turn a potential 8-4 season into 4-8 quicker than you can say anterior cruciate ligament.
Take 2021 for example. Southern Miss, in Will Hall’s debut season, began the season with five quarterbacks on the roster. Before the 12-game season was over, 11 different players took snaps, including a student assistant coach, who un-retired because no quarterback on the roster was healthy enough to play. Hall’s Golden Eagles finished the season with running backs playing quarterback.
Now I don’t know if that team would have won six games, as I predicted in August of 2021. But I know they would have won more than the three they eventually won had it not been for all the sprains, strains and tears.
And that wasn’t the worst case – or the most embarrassing prediction – this predictor has experienced. In 1988, I boldly predicted that Mississippi State would win seven games. The Bulldogs defeated Louisiana Tech in their season opener and then proceeded to lose the next 10 games. It was brutal. At first the defeats were nail-biters, by four points to Vanderbilt and by seven to nationally ranked Georgia. But as the season continued, injuries mounted and morale suffered, the margins of defeat became significantly larger. It mercifully ended with a 33-6 Egg Bowl defeat.
That season forever will be remembered, simply, as “Tech and 10.”
What I will remember most is the wise guy who called my office every Monday morning, usually laughing hysterically while reminding me of my 7-4 prediction. “Hey Cleveland,” he’d say, “I see where your Bullies lost to Memphis by three touchdowns. I just want to know. Was that one of the seven or one of the four?”
And so it went…
With all that in mind, here’s how the 2024 Mississippi football season will go:
We will start with the best team in the state and potentially one of the best teams in the nation: Ole Miss. Don’t take it from me. Both the Associated Press and the Coaches polls have the Rebels ranked No. 6 in the nation. Las Vegas oddsmakers have set the Ole Miss over-under victory total at 9.5. Virtually every respected college football prognosticator has the Rebels in the expanded 12-team college football playoffs. Most have the Rebels hosting a first round playoff game. Lane Kiffin has emerged as the unquestioned king of the transfer portal.
The Rebels have not been ranked this high in the preseason since 1970, when Johnny Vaught was still coaching and now-75-year-old Archie Manning was the quarterback. That year, the Rebs ranked fifth in the AP preseason poll and rose to as high as No. 4 before a stunning loss to Southern Miss and Manning’s broken forearm suffered against Houston.
Quarterback Jaxson Dart, for good reason a high-ranking Heisman Trophy candidate, leads an Ole Miss roster that has been bolstered, especially across the offensive and defensive lines, through the portal. I don’t know that the Rebels are as deep across the the lines as traditional SEC powers such as Georgia and Alabama, but the Rebels appear to possess more depth than any Mississippi football team in recent memory.
The schedule works in the Rebels’ favor as well – at least as well as an SEC schedule can. Ole Miss definitely will be favored, heavily in most cases, to win its first six games. Then comes an Oct. 12 date with LSU at Baton Rouge. Circle that game. Should the Rebs win it, they likely will be 7-0 with an open date before a home game with Oklahoma. Can you imagine what Oxford will be like should that happen? I can’t.
You won’t find Alabama, Texas or Auburn on this Ole Miss schedule, and Georgia, the preseason No. 1, must visit Oxford on Nov. 9. If both teams were to enter that game undefeated, Oxford lacks the infrastructure to contend with all the folks who would converge on the campus and the Square that day.
If I was a gambler, I would bet the over. I think the Rebels will win 10 regular season games, losing only to Georgia and either LSU or Oklahoma. And, yes, that would put Ole Miss in the playoffs.
Mississippi State? To say the Bulldogs are a new-look team is probably the understatement of the decade. The Bulldogs will feature a new head coach, new coordinators, a new quarterback and only four returning starters, the least in the SEC. This rebuilding job may take a while.
That said, I’ve always put a lot of stock in what coaching peers say about a new head coach, and I’ve never heard any coach, friend or foe, say anything negative about Jeff Lebby. He has produced explosive offenses everywhere he has coached, including Ole Miss and Oklahoma.
Lebby’s first task as a head coach will be challenging to say the least. Not only must he replace 18 starters, he must do it against a schedule that might best be described as frightening.
Like Ole Miss, State doesn’t play Alabama or Auburn, but the Bulldogs do play Texas, Georgia, Tennessee and Ole Miss, all ranked in the AP top 15 and all on the road. What’s more, the Bulldogs’ home schedule includes Missouri and Texas A&M, both ranked in the AP’s preseason Top 20. Sports Illustrated ranks State’s schedule the sixth most difficult in the nation, and it is difficult to imagine that five teams exist that face harder schedules.
Little wonder, Las Vegas oddsmakers placed the over-under on State victories at 4.5. I’ve got the Bulldogs winning four – five if they can win that first road game at Arizona State. It surely helps Lebby that he was able to bring in through the portal quarterback Blake Shapen, who was well above average and often outstanding in two seasons as Baylor’s starter.
Vegas oddsmakers set the over-under victory total on Southern Miss also at 4.5. My take: Barring another rash of quarterback injuries, the Golden Eagles will beat those odds. Hall has recruited well and also has increased the overall talent level through the portal. An admission: I thought the transfer portal would negatively affect Sun Belt teams such as Southern Miss. So far, at least, the portal has helped the Eagles.
Start with quarterback Tate Rodemaker, who comes to Hattiesburg from Florida State, where he was the back-up before a late-season injury sidelined the Seminoles’ starter. In his first start, Rodemaker quarterbacked FSU to a 24-15 victory over Florida in The Swamp at Gainesville. Rodemaker had portal offers from South Carolina, Tulane, Washington State and Utah State among others, including FSU, which did not want him to leave.
As this is written, Hall has not named Rodemaker as the definite starter but he will be. Expect to see talented sophomore Ethan Crawford play as well, and Hall loves true freshman John White, the Madison-Ridgeland Academy product (and son of Mississippi Speaker of the House Jason White).
Other reasons for optimism: a huge and talented front seven on defense and what Hall believes will be a much improved offensive line. Expect true freshmen tight end-fullback Reed Jesiolowski and linebacker Chris Jones, both out of Hartfield Academy in Flowood, to make early contributions.
Hall is due some good fortune when it comes to avoiding injuries. If he gets it, his fourth USM team could win six or seven games and go to a bowl. What the heck, I’ll go with seven and hope I don’t hear from the same guy who kept calling and ridiculing me mercilessly back in 1988. I can hear it now: “Hey, Cleveland, I just want to know, was that one of the seven or one of the five…”
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Today
Amid years of pollution violations in the Deep South, Drax received over $700 million in ‘green’ loans
Drax, the British owner of wood pellet plants in Mississippi and Louisiana that has paid millions in fines and settlements for violating state pollution laws in recent years, has received at least $762 million in “green” loans during that same period, an investigation by The Examination, The Toronto Star and Mississippi Today found.
The energy company ships out wood pellets made in North America for other countries to use as a power source to meet their carbon reduction goals. But state regulators in both Mississippi and Louisiana have come down on Drax over its local air pollution. Between penalties and settlements over the last five years, Drax has had to pay out over a combined $5 million to the two states.
Since 2018, banks have issued $1.5 trillion in low-interest “sustainability-linked loans,” or SLLs, to large corporations to motivate climate-friendly practices. Wood biomass companies, such as Drax, alone received over $76 billion in SLLs between 2018 and 2023, the investigation found using data from the London Stock Exchange and the Environmental Paper Network.
Drax received two such loans: one in 2020 that became the equivalent of $553 million – issued by a group of banks including Bank of America, Barclays and JP Morgan – and another in 2021 equal to $208 million.
While companies have environmental benchmarks that go with the loans, there’s little oversight or public disclosure over what those goals are or whether the companies accomplish them. Drax maintains it has reduced its overall carbon footprint since receiving its SLLs; according to its most recent annual report, the company lowered its carbon emissions by 27% from 2020 to 2023.
However scientists around the world have argued for years that using wood pellets for electricity actually creates more carbon emissions than using coal or gas. Not only does burning pellets release carbon into the air, but so does cutting down the trees – which store carbon and take years to regrow – to make the pellets.
“As numerous studies have shown, this burning of wood will increase warming for decades to centuries,” hundreds of professors and other experts wrote in a 2021 letter to world leaders including President Biden. “That is true even when the wood replaces coal, oil or natural gas.”
Despite the wide-ranging contentions, global industrial leaders like the United Kingdom have embraced biomass, including wood pellets, as an energy source. The U.K.’s 2024 “Clean Power 2030 Action Plan” says biomass could be an important part of its transition to clean energy, and in 2023 a quarter of the country’s renewable energy generation came from “biogenic” sources such as biomass.
In a written response to questions for this story, Drax defended the use of pellets for electricity.
“While we recognize that there is an on-going debate with respect to the range of solutions required to most effectively combat the climate crisis, we believe that energy from biomass, when sourced sustainably, is an important contributor to the decarbonization of electricity generation,” the company said via e-mail.
But Drax, which mostly uses wood from the United States and Canada, recently came under fire over how it sources its pellets. Last year, the UK government issued a 25 million pound fine to the company, in part because Drax failed to fully detail where it sourced wood pellets made in Canada.
In Mississippi, environmental regulators fined the company $225,000 last year for releasing 50% over its permitted limit of hazardous air pollutants, or HAPs, from its plant in the small town of Gloster. But meanwhile, the company is applying to become a “major” source of HAPs, a designation that allows greater emissions with added pollution reduction controls.
Allison Brouk, a senior attorney for EarthJustice, said it doesn’t make sense that Drax gets to graduate through the regulatory system the way it has.
“They applied for a minor source permit, emitted at major source levels until they were fined and (state regulators) made them change that,” Brouk said. “It’s a pattern Drax has taken, somehow, just to work with the system.”
Last year’s fine was Drax’s second in Mississippi for violating air pollutant limits. In 2020, the state fined Drax $2.5 million, one of the largest such penalties in state history, for emitting over three times the legal limit for volatile organic compounds, or VOCs. Shortly after the fine was announced, Drax announced receiving its first SLL.
State regulators found that Drax also exceeded its legal limit of VOC releases at its two plants in Louisiana. While the company didn’t have to admit to any wrongdoing, Drax agreed to pay a combined settlement of $3.2 million in 2022. It was the largest amount paid to the Louisiana Department of Environmental Quality in the last decade, The Times-Picayune reported.
In September, Drax announced plans to invest $12.5 billion to develop its biomass operation in the U.S. with added carbon capture and storage technology, Reuters reported. Groups like the National Resources Defense Council, though, argue that the technology will only lead to greater emissions.
While the intended goal of SLLs is to encourage sustainable practices in large corporations, loan recipients in some cases have framed their emissions metrics in misleading ways, The Examination found. To read the outlet’s full investigation into the world of SLLs, click here.
This investigation is reported in partnership with The Examination, Mississippi Today and Toronto Star. This reporting was supported by the Pulitzer Center’s Rainforest Investigations Network.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Today
Mississippi House set to vote this week on income tax elimination-gas tax increase plan
A House committee passed a major tax cut plan on Tuesday evening that would eventually abolish the state income tax, reduce taxes on groceries, increase local sales taxes and provide more money for road work.
The plan would over time cut about $1.1 billion from the state’s current revenue. Proponents say economic growth will cover this, and not result in major cuts to government services or spending.
“This is one of the most transformational pieces of legislation that this state has ever seen,” House Ways and Means Chairman Trey Lamar said in the committee meeting.
The legislation passed the GOP-majority House committee with no audible opposition, though Rep. Robert Johnson III, the House Democratic leader, raised concerns that the state’s budget may not collect enough revenues in the future to offset the tax cut.
The legislation would reduce the income tax rate from 4% to 3% next year. Then, it would reduce the rate by .3% each additional year until the tax is eliminated in 10 years.
The plan also trims the 7% sales tax on groceries to 2.5% over time. Under current law, Mississippi’s 7% sales tax is split between the state and municipalities where the tax is collected. To shore up the loss, the legislation would end the state’s 18.5% sales tax diversion to municipalities, meaning the full sales tax collected will go to the state budget.
To make municipalities whole, the bill adds a general 1.5% local sales tax for both municipalities and counties that the local governments can vote to opt out of. The tax collected by the counties would go toward local road maintenance.
Oxford Mayor Robyn Tannehill, an independent, attended Tuesday’s Ways and Means meeting and told Mississippi Today she supports the local 1.5% local sales tax because it means additional revenue for municipalities in the state.
“I’m supportive of any bill that increases revenues for Oxford, Mississippi,” Tannehill said.
The legislation also adds a new 5% tax on gasoline sales, which would go toward the Mississippi Department of Transportation’s budget for road and bridge infrastructure. The tax is expected to generate $400 million a year. Currently, Mississippi has an 18.4 cents-a-gallon flat tax on gasoline — a flat rate no matter the cost of a gallon. Transportation leaders have for years said they need an indexed tax that would rise with the cost of gasoline in order to generate enough money to keep up road maintenance.
Using the current average gasoline price in Mississippi of $2.62 a gallon, the proposed new tax would cost consumers 13 more cents a gallon.
Lamar, a Republican from Senatobia, said he intends to bring the bill up for a full House vote this week, and it’s expected to pass the 122 member chamber. But the legislation is several steps away from becoming law.
Once the legislation passes the House, it would likely head to the Senate Finance Committee, which is led by Republican Sen. Josh Harkins of Flowood, for consideration. Harkins has not yet responded to the House’s legislation, but he previously told Mississippi Today the Senate will unveil its own tax cut package in the coming weeks.
If the House and Senate agree on a tax cut measure, it would head to Republican Gov. Tate Reeves’ desk for consideration. Reeves has been a vocal champion of eliminating the income tax, but it’s unclear if he would support all of the House’s latest tax cut measure.
Lamar on Tuesday night told reporters that he had spoken with Reeves’ office, and he believes the governor will offer his support to the legislation. The governor’s office did not respond to questions about his stance on Lamar’s legislation.
Reeves in past years has opposed what he called “tax swaps,” tax cut proposals that sought to decrease the overall tax burden, yet raised another type of tax such as the latest House proposal. He’s also opposed past efforts to raise the gasoline tax.
“If a bill comes to my desk that doesn’t raise any other taxes that cuts the grocery tax and cuts the income tax, I’m fine with that,” Reeves said last week at a press conference.
Reeves, in 2021 notably opposed an effort led by Lamar and former House Speaker Philip Gunn that sought to eliminate the income tax and cut the sales tax on groceries in half while increasing the sales tax on other items by 2.5 cents on the dollar.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Mississippi Stories Videos
Mississippi Stories: Chris Lockhart of Capital City Kayaks
In this episode of Mississippi Stories, Mississippi Today Editor-at-Large Marshall Ramsey took a tour of one of the best kept secrets in Jackson with Chris Lockhart of Capital City Kayaks. What started as a hobby to explore the green side of the capital city has turned into a family-fun spot for tourists and Jacksonians alike.
For more videos, subscribe to Mississippi Today’s YouTube channel.
This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
The post Mississippi Stories: Chris Lockhart of Capital City Kayaks appeared first on Mississippi Today.
-
News from the South - Arkansas News Feed7 days ago
Arkansas commission clears deputy in controversial arrest case
-
News from the South - Kentucky News Feed6 days ago
Metal armored fighting takes over the cage this weekend in New Albany
-
The Conversation24 hours ago
Vaccine hesitancy among pet owners is growing – a public health expert explains why that matters
-
Mississippi News Video6 days ago
Wintry mix expected in Mississippi this week. Here’s how to prepare
-
Local News5 days ago
Trump sentenced to penalty-free ‘unconditional discharge’ in hush money case
-
News from the South - Texas News Feed5 days ago
2024: Another record-breaking year for Texas oil and natural gas industry | Texas
-
News from the South - South Carolina News Feed2 days ago
24 dead as fire crews try to corral Los Angeles blazes before winds return this week
-
News from the South - Oklahoma News Feed6 days ago
For Some Oklahomans, Eviction is a Death Sentence