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Another Midwest drought is causing transportation headaches on the Mississippi River

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mississippitoday.org – Kristoffer Tigue, Inside Climate News – 2024-09-16 04:00:00

For the third year in a row, extreme drought conditions in the Midwest are drawing down water levels on the Mississippi River, raising prices for companies that transport goods downstream and forcing governments and business owners to seek alternative solutions.

Extreme swings between drought and flooding have become more frequent in the region, scientists say, as climate change alters the planet’s weather patterns and inches the average global temperature continually upwards.

“Without question, it’s discouraging that we’re in year three of this. Because that is quite unique to have multiple years in a row of this,” said Mike Steenhoek, executive director of the Soy Transportation Coalition, a trade organization representing Midwest soy growers. “We’re obviously trending in the wrong direction.”

Since 2022, much of the Midwest has experienced some level of drought, with the driest conditions concentrated in Iowa, Missouri, Nebraska and Kansas. Record rainfall in June and during part of July temporarily broke that dry spell, forecasters say, only for drought conditions to reemerge in recent weeks along the Ohio River basin, which typically supplies more water to the Mississippi than any other major tributary.

Water levels have been dropping in the lower Mississippi since mid-July, federal data show, reaching nearly seven feet below the historic average in Memphis on Sept. 13. In October 2023, water levels reached a record-low -11 feet in Memphis. Remnants of Hurricane Francine, which made landfall in Louisiana Wednesday night as a Category 2 storm, “will provide only temporary relief,” the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in a news release Wednesday.

“Rainfall over the Ohio Valley is also not looking to be widespread and heavy enough to generate lasting effects and anticipate that much of the rainfall will soak into the ground with little runoff,” the agency said in the release.

At the Vicksburg, Mississippi, gauge, the river has dropped from 28 feet in July to just four feet on Sept. 13. For reference, the flood stage in Vicksburg is 43 feet. NOAA projects that the river level there will only climb up slightly, to about seven feet, over the next couple weeks.

Those conditions have raised prices for companies transporting fuel and grain down the Mississippi in recent weeks, as load restrictions force barge operators to limit their hauls, which squeezes their profit margin. Barge rates from St. Louis reached $24.62 a ton in late August and $27.49 per ton by the following week, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Steenhoek said barge prices during the first week of September were 8 percent higher than the same week last year and 57 percent higher than the three-year average. “It does change that supply demand relationship,” he said, “because now all of a sudden you’re having to transport a given amount of freight with less capacity.”

A river in flux

Aaron Wilson, Ohio’s state climatologist and a professor at Ohio State University, said the whiplash between this summer’s record wet months and September’s drought conditions appears to fit what could be an emerging climate trend observed by researchers.

The Midwest region has generally gotten wetter over the decades. The Fifth National Climate Assessment, released last year, reported that annual precipitation increased by 5 to 15 percent across much of the Midwest in the 30-year period leading up to 2021, compared to the average between 1901 and 1960.

But evidence also suggests the Midwest is experiencing more frequent swings between extreme wet and extreme dry seasons, with climate models predicting that the trend will persist into the future, said Wilson, who was the lead author of the assessment’s Midwest chapter.

“This was front and center for us,” he said. “One of the main things that we talked about were these rapid oscillations … between wet to dry and dry to wet extremes.”

Research also suggests that seasonal precipitation is trending in opposite directions, and will continue to do so in the coming decades, Wilson added. “And so what you get is too much water in the winter and spring and not enough during the growing season,” he said, referring to summer months.

If that evidence holds true, it could have notable impacts on U.S. food exports moving forward.

Future impacts on shipping 

Transporting goods, including corn, soy and fuel, on the Mississippi is more efficient pound for pound than ground transportation, business groups say, and gives the U.S. an edge in a competitive global market. According to the Waterways Council, a trade association for businesses that use the Mississippi River, a standard 15-barge load is equivalent to 1,050 semi trucks or 216 train cars — meaning domestic farmers and other producers can save significant time and money moving their goods by boat.

The majority of U.S. agricultural exports rely on the Mississippi to reach the international market, as farmers move their crops to export hubs on the Gulf Coast, said Debra Calhoun, senior vice president of the Waterways Council. “More than 65 percent of our national agriculture products that are bound for export are moving on this inland waterway system,” she said. “So this system is critical to farmers of any size farm.”

The ramifications could be especially harmful to the soy industry, Steenhoek said, since about half of the soy grown in the U.S. is exported. By the last week of August, grain exports transported by barge fell 17 percent compared to the week before, according to a Thursday report released by the USDA.

Steenhoek said the increased costs to U.S. growers hurt their ability to compete globally. Any price increase to domestic grain could encourage international clients to instead buy from rival countries like Brazil or Argentina, he said.

While it’s typical for water levels on the Mississippi to drop during the fall months, Steenhoek said, the recent years of drought have been a real wakeup call for farmers to diversify their supply chains. Soy growers, he said, have since set up new supply chain agreements with rail lines and have even invested in new export terminals in Washington state and on the coast of Lake Michigan in Milwaukee.

Boats docked at the Riverside Park Marina south of downtown Memphis were cut off from the Mississippi River in November 2022. Credit: Patrick Lantrip/Daily Memphian

Luckily, Calhoun said, disruptions to river transportation this year haven’t been nearly as bad as they were last year, when the Mississippi’s water levels reached record lows. Several barges were grounded last year and in 2022, she said, referring to when boats get stuck on the riverbed or in areas where sediment has built up. That hasn’t occurred so far this year. 

She chalks that up to proactive efforts this year by companies and federal agencies, like the Army Corps of Engineers, to mitigate transportation disruptions. 

George Stringham, chief of public affairs for the Corps’ St. Louis District, said they started dredging the river a few weeks earlier this year. “We started early to get ahead of things, in anticipation, after having two straight years of low water conditions,” said Stringham. Dredging involves moving sediment on the riverbed from areas where it can cause problems to boats to areas where it won’t. 

Wilson, Ohio’s climatologist, said he has seen stronger cooperation among stakeholders in tackling this issue. “It’s a mix of climate scientists, social scientists and planners and emergency preparedness folks that are really coordinating this effort,” he said.

The result, Calhoun said, is that their coalition of groups have been able to handle the disruptions relatively well this year, which leaves her feeling cautiously optimistic. “It’s really hard, you know, to track this and try to figure out is it just normal? Is it getting much worse? Are we going to have to make significant changes, and if so, what would they be? But we’re not there yet,” she said.

This story is a product of the Mississippi River Basin Ag & Water Desk, an independent reporting network based at the University of Missouri in partnership with Report for America, with major funding from the Walton Family Foundation.

Missississippi Today environmental reporter Alex Rozier contributed to this report.

This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.

Mississippi Today

Mississippi House set to vote this week on income tax elimination-gas tax increase plan

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mississippitoday.org – Taylor Vance – 2025-01-14 17:44:00

A House committee passed a major tax cut plan on Tuesday evening that would eventually abolish the state income tax, reduce taxes on groceries, increase local sales taxes and provide more money for road work.

The plan would over time cut about $1.1 billion from the state’s current revenue. Proponents say economic growth will cover this, and not result in major cuts to government services or spending.

“This is one of the most transformational pieces of legislation that this state has ever seen,” House Ways and Means Chairman Trey Lamar said in the committee meeting. 

The legislation passed the GOP-majority House committee with no audible opposition, though Rep. Robert Johnson III, the House Democratic leader, raised concerns that the state’s budget may not collect enough revenues in the future to offset the tax cut.  

The legislation would reduce the income tax rate from 4% to 3% next year. Then, it would reduce the rate by .3% each additional year until the tax is eliminated in 10 years. 

The plan also trims the 7% sales tax on groceries to 2.5% over time. Under current law, Mississippi’s 7% sales tax is split between the state and municipalities where the tax is collected. To shore up the loss, the legislation would end the state’s 18.5% sales tax diversion to municipalities, meaning the full sales tax collected will go to the state budget. 

To make municipalities whole, the bill adds a general 1.5% local sales tax for both municipalities and counties that the local governments can vote to opt out of. The tax collected by the counties would go toward local road maintenance.

Oxford Mayor Robyn Tannehill, an independent, attended Tuesday’s Ways and Means meeting and told Mississippi Today she supports the local 1.5% local sales tax because it means additional revenue for municipalities in the state. 

“I’m supportive of any bill that increases revenues for Oxford, Mississippi,” Tannehill said. 

The legislation also adds a new 5% tax on gasoline sales, which would go toward the Mississippi Department of Transportation’s budget for road and bridge infrastructure. The tax is expected to generate $400 million a year. Currently, Mississippi has an 18.4 cents-a-gallon flat tax on gasoline — a flat rate no matter the cost of a gallon. Transportation leaders have for years said they need an indexed tax that would rise with the cost of gasoline in order to generate enough money to keep up road maintenance.

Using the current average gasoline price in Mississippi of $2.62 a gallon, the proposed new tax would cost consumers 13 more cents a gallon.

Lamar, a Republican from Senatobia, said he intends to bring the bill up for a full House vote this week, and it’s expected to pass the 122 member chamber. But the legislation is several steps away from becoming law. 

Once the legislation passes the House, it would likely head to the Senate Finance Committee, which is led by Republican Sen. Josh Harkins of Flowood, for consideration. Harkins has not yet responded to the House’s legislation, but he previously told Mississippi Today the Senate will unveil its own tax cut package in the coming weeks. 

If the House and Senate agree on a tax cut measure, it would head to Republican Gov. Tate Reeves’ desk for consideration. Reeves has been a vocal champion of eliminating the income tax, but it’s unclear if he would support all of the House’s latest tax cut measure. 

Lamar on Tuesday night told reporters that he had spoken with Reeves’ office, and he believes the governor will offer his support to the legislation. The governor’s office did not respond to questions about his stance on Lamar’s legislation. 

Reeves in past years has opposed what he called “tax swaps,” tax cut proposals that sought to decrease the overall tax burden, yet raised another type of tax such as the latest House proposal. He’s also opposed past efforts to raise the gasoline tax. 

“If a bill comes to my desk that doesn’t raise any other taxes that cuts the grocery tax and cuts the income tax, I’m fine with that,” Reeves said last week at a press conference. 

Reeves, in 2021 notably opposed an effort led by Lamar and former House Speaker Philip Gunn that sought to eliminate the income tax and cut the sales tax on groceries in half while increasing the sales tax on other items by 2.5 cents on the dollar. 

This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.

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Mississippi Stories Videos

Mississippi Stories: Chris Lockhart of Capital City Kayaks

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mississippitoday.org – Marshall Ramsey – 2025-01-14 11:39:00

In this episode of Mississippi Stories, Mississippi Today Editor-at-Large Marshall Ramsey took a tour of one of the best kept secrets in Jackson with Chris Lockhart of Capital City Kayaks. What started as a hobby to explore the green side of the capital city has turned into a family-fun spot for tourists and Jacksonians alike.

For more videos, subscribe to Mississippi Today’s YouTube channel.


This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.

The post Mississippi Stories: Chris Lockhart of Capital City Kayaks appeared first on Mississippi Today.

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Mississippi Today

Lawmakers must pass new legislation to improve access to prenatal care

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mississippitoday.org – Sophia Paffenroth – 2025-01-14 10:27:00

Lawmakers will file another bill this session to help low-income pregnant women get into the doctor earlier – after the federal government rejected the program set up under last year’s law. 

The implementation of the program has been delayed for months as a result of the discrepancy between what was written into state law and federal regulations for pregnancy presumptive eligibility.

Rep. Missy McGee, R-Hattiesburg, told Mississippi Today she will file a bill before next week’s deadline.

“It’s a priority to get pregnant women into the doctor as early as possible,” said McGee, who authored last year’s bill and chairs the House Medicaid committee. “The goal is the same, the priority for us is the same.”

House Medicaid Committee Chairwoman Missy McGee, R-Hattiesburg, said the passing of legislation that would extend postpartum Medicaid coverage from two months to a year, by the committee is “the right thing for women and babies in Mississippi,” Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023, at the Mississippi Capitol in Jackson. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)

The problem with the 2024 legislation is that it included a proof of income requirement – meaning patients would need to bring paystubs into the doctor’s office – which the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, the federal agency responsible for approving the state plan, does not allow. Although the law is intended for low-income individuals, the federal government maintains that vocal testimony should suffice. 

Federal guidelines state that while the agency may require proof of citizenship or residency, it should not “require verification of the conditions for presumptive eligibility” – which are pregnancy and income. 

McGee said she will be taking out the proof of income requirement. The proof of pregnancy requirement is null, she said, since doctors would be able to see pregnancy during the first visit. 

The law presumes certain low-income pregnant women as eligible for Medicaid, and allows them to receive treatment right away at no cost to them while their official Medicaid application is pending. This interim coverage only lasts 60 days, at which point the Division of Medicaid will typically have approved or denied their application, according to average application processing times. 

The policy will cost roughly $567,000 and could cut down on the number of premature infants who end up in the intensive care unit, where the state might pay up to $1 million caring for a single baby. Mississippi has the nation’s highest rate of preterm birth, which adequate prenatal care has been proven to mitigate

Advocates argue that the mandatory documentation is just another burden on pregnant women already facing socioeconomic barriers to health care. 

Officials with the Mississippi Division of Medicaid said several times throughout the summer and fall that they were in negotiations with the federal government to work out the problem with state law.

Matt Westerfield, spokesperson for the Division of Medicaid, confirmed that the agency could not work out with the federal government the proof of income requirement state lawmakers wrote into the law. 

McGee said the easiest solution is to draft new legislation. She is hopeful that the policy will garner the same overwhelming support this year that it had from lawmakers in both chambers last year. 

“We do not believe that the changes do any harm to our objective, so we are willing to make these changes,” McGee said. “And really, I think it’s been helpful for the Division of Medicaid to have these in-depth conversations [with CMS] so we have a better idea of what CMS is looking for.”

The House passed the law 117-5 last year, and the Senate passed it 52-4. 

The deadline to file bills is Jan. 20. McGee says she hopes to push the bill through the Legislature early on this year – as she did last year. In 2024, it was sent to the governor less than halfway through the session. 

Thirteen providers were approved to participate in the policy in 2024, including the University of Mississippi Medical Center – the state’s largest Medicaid provider.

In addition to negotiating with CMS and accepting provider applications, the Division of Medicaid also conducted several provider training sessions throughout the fall.

Westerfield was not able to comment on whether the approved providers would be automatically enrolled in 2025 or whether they would need to reapply. He also declined to comment on whether the implementation process would be streamlined the second time around. 

Other than minor changes to income verification, everything in this year’s bill will stay the same as last year. 

An expectant mother would need to fall under the following income levels to qualify for presumptive eligibility in 2025:

This article first appeared on Mississippi Today and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.

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