SUMMARY: The Weather Authority predicts a cool night and relatively warmer temperatures compared to the previous night. Christmas decorations are in place, but rainfall is expected tomorrow. The current temperatures are in the upper 40s and lower 50s, with winds coming from the south-southeast. The Gulf Coast is experiencing similar temperatures as Florida, while Texas is in the 60s. A warm front is moving in, bringing the potential for thunderstorms. The surface analysis shows high pressure moving east and clouds drifting in from the west. There is a possibility of strong storms developing by Thursday and Friday. Rain chances are indicated on the 7-day forecast.

Wednesday November 29th, 2023: here is a lot of uncertainty and right
now the best forecast shot is storms will begin to roll into
northwestern portions of the CWA around 06z Fri and work east given
the mid lvl pattern there is a high chance that the storms take on a
WSW to ENE orientation during the early morning hours a few strong
possibly severe storms can not be ruled out initially maybe between
5/6z till 8/9z but after that there appears to be a much better
chance of a heavy rain setup developing. All of the dynamics will
quickly pull away to the NE or even NNE Thursday night and this is
very common with convection waning (at least the risk for
strong/severe). This also will lead to the sfc low pulling away well
north of the area quickly and with no forcing or strong cold air
mass behind it the line will slow down considerably and that is when
the convection would take on that orientation and we could see a
line of training storms. Abundant moisture will be in place and very
strong LL convergence initially should lead to favorable
thunderstorms development and even help to possiblity of
strong/severe storms with very strong shear in place but quickly the
core of the LL jet will lift north with the dynamics and the
potentency of storms should begin to wane.

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